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Criterio EA · Executive officeStatistical analysis of the tests

How Ofelia performs across 2 rounds of testing, with the margin of every result and each failure with its origin. It is regenerated from the repository’s evidence with every round.

Most recent complete round: 2

José Ñáñez
José ÑáñezTechnology Advisor · Board Member
Published October 27, 2026Updated October 30, 20265 min read

At a glance

The most recent complete round, round 2, on the material's 4 entities: 85 of 85 seeded signals found (95% margin: 95.6–100%) and 0 extra; 146 of 146 data items extracted right (100%, 95% margin: 97.4–100%); and 2 of 2 control entities with no signal at all.

Across rounds 1–2, 188 of 188 signals found, 1 extra and 376 of 381 data items right. The rounds repeat the same material: they are not independent samples, and the margin is computed over each round's cases.

What was tested and how

On each entity, Ofelia run their setup and processing —the commands that process the documents and write the records—, with a token cap set before starting, on material whose key is kept apart and never seen. The other commands calculate on those records with the engine, which is tested on every change to the repository. Signals are compared by name and key; extraction, field by field, against what the written documents say. Control entities carry no seeded defect: any signal in them is a failure.

Coverage: of the seeded signals, how many were found. Precision: of those raised, how many were right. 95% margin: Wilson confidence interval over the cases.

Rounds
2; the most recent complete one is round 2
Material
Banking · Colombia, Credit unions · Ecuador
Control entities
Control · Colombia, Control · Ecuador
Entity runs
13
Seeded signals
188
Data items graded
381

Cumulative results · rounds 1–2

MeasureCasesResult95% margin
Signals · coverage188 of 188100%97.9–100%
Signals · precision188 of 18999.5%97–100%
Extraction · data right376 of 38198.7%96.9–99.5%
Control · with no signal5 of 683.3%43.6–97%

Round by round

Round by round
RoundEntitiesSignals · coverageSignals · precisionExtractionControl with no signalTokensDefects
17100%94.7%97.8%3 of 411.3 M8
26100%100%99.2%2 of 29.9 M1

The most recent complete round · round 2

MeasureCasesResult95% margin
Signals · coverage85 of 85100%95.6–100%
Signals · precision85 of 85100%95.6–100%
Extraction · data right146 of 146100%97.4–100%
Control · with no signal2 of 2100%34.2–100%

By industry and country · round 2

MaterialAgentsSignalsExtraExtractionTokens
Banking · ColombiaOfelia50 of 50050 of 511.6 M
Banking · ColombiaOfelia50 of 50051 of 511.6 M
Credit unions · EcuadorOfelia35 of 35044 of 451.6 M
Credit unions · EcuadorOfelia35 of 35045 of 451.9 M
Control · ColombiaOfelia0 of 0025 of 251.9 M
Control · EcuadorOfelia0 of 0025 of 251.2 M

What failed, one by one · rounds 1–2

6 failures in 13 runs, each with the defect that explains it: its origin says whether the agent or the test failed. The figures are those of the original grading: 2 of those failures came from the test —the harness or the key—, not from the agent, and with the test fixed they grade as right.

RoundMaterialWhatWhereDefectOrigin
1Control · ColombiaExtra signal["commitment_overdue", "compromiso:junta-directiva:2026-09-24:C-1"]——
1Control · ColombiaData item graded wrongreuniones/junta-directiva-2026-09-24 · commitmentsEA-7Agent instructions
1Control · ColombiaData item graded wrongreuniones/junta-directiva-2026-09-24 · decisionsEA-8Agent instructions
1Credit unions · EcuadorData item graded wrongreuniones/consejo-de-administracion-2026-09-24 · agreementsEA-6Agent instructions
2Banking · ColombiaData item graded wrongreuniones/comite-de-presidencia-2026-10-05 · decisionsEA-9Test material
2Credit unions · EcuadorData item graded wrongreuniones/comite-de-gerencia-2026-10-05 · decisionsEA-9Test material

Defects

9 defects logged, each with its origin, its fix and the run that verified it: 9 verified and 0 to verify. 3 came from the material, the key or the test harness, not from the agents.

Defects
OriginDefects
Agent instructions4
Code2
Grading key1
Test harness1
Test material1
AgentDefects
Ofelia9

Cost and next step

The 2 rounds used 22.3 million tokens: 21.1 million in the graded runs and 1.2 in the ones repeated after fixing a defect. On average, 1.6 million per entity.

The material is synthetic. Whether a version is stable or laboratory is said by this evidence, not its number: stable, with the floor of the 95% margin at 95% or more for signals and data over each entity's most recent run, and no signal in the controls (decision 0020).

Where every figure comes from

The analysis is generated by scripts/analisis_familias.py from tests/evidencias/familias/ea/, and the repository’s verification checks on every change that it says what the evidence says. This page publishes it without recomputing anything.

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